Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Horvat wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.9% vs Poehling 47.9% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 96.7%
Defensive zone
Horvat 62.2%
Neutral zone
Horvat 76.2%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 91.8%
91.8%
8.2%
Horvat
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Horvat
Poehling
Last 7: Horvat 6-1 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
0
Horvat
Poehling
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Horvat
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (713)
50.5% (666)
+4.9%
Power Play
63.2% (242)
58.3% (12)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (104)
38.6% (215)
+9.5%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Horvat is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (616).
Horvat shoots left. Poehling is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (598).
Home / Away
Horvat
Poehling
Home
59.0% (515)
47.3% (404)
Away
54.0% (544)
48.1% (489)
By Period
Horvat
Poehling
P1
59.6%
53.5%
P2
53.9%
40.1%
P3
56.2%
50.0%
OT
55.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
59.6%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Poehling
58.0%▲
52.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 13:31 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 00:15 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 08:05 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 08:00 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 03:27 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:46 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 17:23 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |