Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 16 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Poehling 48.2% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Poehling leads 19-19 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 70.7%
Defensive zone
Poehling 71.7%
Neutral zone
Poehling 58.3%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Horvat
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
19
(38 meetings)
19
19
Horvat
Poehling
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
12
4
Horvat
Poehling
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
5
11
Horvat
Poehling
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
2
4
Horvat
Poehling
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,637)
49.6% (2,766)
+4.3%
Power Play
61.1% (2,711)
51.6% (93)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,497)
41.7% (631)
+5.5%
On power play, Horvat has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,730).
Horvat shoots left. Poehling is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,340).
Home / Away
Horvat
Poehling
Home
56.1% (8,401)
49.3% (1,688)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
47.2% (1,802)
By Period
Horvat
Poehling
P1
54.1%
50.9%
P2
54.4%
47.1%
P3
55.0%
47.1%
OT
49.6%
37.9%
Final 5 min
55.2%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
66.0%▲
56.5%
54.5%
Poehling
58.0%▲
52.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 13:31 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 00:15 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 08:05 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 08:00 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 03:27 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:46 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 17:23 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 04:54 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 18:40 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 11:01 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 08:03 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 01:18 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 14:35 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 25, 2023 | OT | 02:56 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 15:31 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 12:55 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 10:36 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 07:46 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 07:39 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 07:33 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |