Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Horvat wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.1% vs Poehling 48.0% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 96.9%
Defensive zone
Horvat 62.2%
Neutral zone
Horvat 79.2%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 91.9%
91.9%
8.1%
Horvat
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Horvat
Poehling
Last 7: Horvat 6-1 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
0
Horvat
Poehling
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Horvat
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (731)
50.4% (680)
+5.3%
Power Play
63.4% (243)
58.3% (12)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (107)
38.8% (219)
+9.8%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Horvat is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (633).
Horvat shoots left. Poehling is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
Horvat
Poehling
Home
59.4% (537)
47.4% (422)
Away
54.0% (544)
48.1% (489)
By Period
Horvat
Poehling
P1
59.9%
53.3%
P2
54.5%
40.3%
P3
56.1%
50.0%
OT
55.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
56.7%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 13:31 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 00:15 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 08:05 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 08:00 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 03:27 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:46 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 17:23 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |