Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.1% vs Kuraly 51.0% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 75.8%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 75.5%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 56.3%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Horvat
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Horvat
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Horvat
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (731)
52.6% (464)
+3.1%
Power Play
63.4% (243)
100.0% (1)
-36.6%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (107)
46.5% (155)
+2.1%
On power play, Kuraly has a +36.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Horvat is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (633).
Horvat shoots left. Kuraly is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Horvat
Kuraly
Home
59.4% (537)
55.9% (322)
Away
54.0% (544)
46.0% (298)
By Period
Horvat
Kuraly
P1
59.9%
55.9%
P2
54.5%
46.7%
P3
56.1%
50.7%
OT
55.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
56.7%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 19:35 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 18:54 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 07:53 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |