Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 21 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Kuraly 50.4% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 29-29 in 58 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 78.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 79.4%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 57.4%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Horvat
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
29
(58 meetings)
29
29
Horvat
Kuraly
Last 10: Horvat 3-7 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
18
3
Horvat
Kuraly
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
6
13
Horvat
Kuraly
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
5
13
Horvat
Kuraly
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
51.6% (5,161)
+2.3%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
56.4% (101)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
44.4% (1,091)
+2.8%
On power play, Horvat has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Horvat shoots left. Kuraly is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,119).
Home / Away
Horvat
Kuraly
Home
56.1% (8,423)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Horvat
Kuraly
P1
54.1%
51.2%
P2
54.5%
50.0%
P3
55.0%
50.2%
OT
49.6%
52.3%
Final 5 min
55.2%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 19:35 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 18:54 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 07:53 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 3 | 12:56 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 04:44 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 19:03 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 13:01 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 10:27 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 08:16 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 24, 2023 | 3 | 19:24 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 24, 2023 | 3 | 19:16 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 24, 2023 | 3 | 03:34 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 24, 2023 | 3 | 00:32 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 24, 2023 | 2 | 02:24 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 24, 2023 | 1 | 11:34 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 24, 2023 | 1 | 02:41 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 24, 2023 | 1 | 02:33 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 07:12 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 02:31 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |