Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on neutral-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Horvat wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.1% vs Monahan 52.5% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 89.0%
Defensive zone
Horvat 74.5%
Neutral zone
Horvat 75.7%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 79.3%
79.3%
20.7%
Horvat
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
3
(14 meetings)
11
3
Horvat
Monahan
Last 10: Horvat 9-1 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
1
Horvat
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
7
1
Horvat
Monahan
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (731)
53.0% (874)
+2.7%
Power Play
63.4% (243)
54.7% (161)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (107)
47.5% (101)
+1.1%
On power play, Horvat has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Horvat is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (633).
Horvat shoots left. Monahan is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (710).
Home / Away
Horvat
Monahan
Home
59.4% (537)
53.8% (558)
Away
54.0% (544)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Horvat
Monahan
P1
59.9%
49.5%
P2
54.5%
54.8%
P3
56.1%
52.8%
OT
55.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
59.4%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
56.7%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 01:58 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 04:31 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 09:49 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 08:21 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 08:09 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 14:45 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 02:50 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 17:45 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 17:30 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 10:10 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 10:05 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |