Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 63 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Monahan 51.2% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 105-104 in 209 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 63.7%
Defensive zone
Horvat 59.6%
Neutral zone
Monahan 57.2%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Horvat
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
104
-
105
(209 meetings)
104
105
Horvat
Monahan
Last 10: Horvat 9-1 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
28
48
Horvat
Monahan
76 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
42
21
Horvat
Monahan
63 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
34
36
Horvat
Monahan
70 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
51.1% (11,407)
+2.8%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
53.6% (2,582)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
45.9% (772)
+1.3%
On power play, Horvat has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Horvat shoots left. Monahan is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (9,335).
Home / Away
Horvat
Monahan
Home
56.1% (8,423)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Horvat
Monahan
P1
54.1%
51.0%
P2
54.5%
51.7%
P3
55.0%
51.0%
OT
49.6%
53.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 01:58 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 04:31 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 09:49 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 08:21 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 08:09 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 14:45 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 02:50 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 17:45 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 17:30 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 10:10 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 10:05 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 24, 2025 | OT | 00:13 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 24, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 3 | 19:50 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 3 | 15:22 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 3 | 12:48 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 3 | 10:14 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |