Bo Horvat vs Tomas Hertl

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Tomas Hertl holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Horvat 56.1% vs Hertl 57.5% (-1.4%)
H2H factor Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Hertl 66.6%
Defensive zone Horvat 58.5%
Neutral zone Hertl 57.4%
Result Bo Horvat favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Horvat Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
2 - 1 (3 meetings)
2
1
Horvat Hertl

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Horvat Hertl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat Hertl
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Horvat
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (731)
58.7% (858)
-3.0%
Power Play
63.4% (243)
55.8% (285)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (107)
62.9% (35)
-14.3%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +14.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Horvat is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (633).
Horvat shoots left. Hertl is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (736).
Home / Away
Horvat
Hertl
Home
59.4% (537)
60.1% (599)
Away
54.0% (544)
56.1% (579)
By Period
Horvat
Hertl
P1
59.9%
52.4%
P2
54.5%
63.9%
P3
56.1%
58.5%
OT
55.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
59.4%
59.5%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%
57.5%
56.7%
Hertl
66.0%
61.0%
58.1%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 9, 2025 OT 01:26 Defensive Bo Horvat
Nov 13, 2025 3 16:42 Offensive Tomas Hertl
Nov 13, 2025 1 08:11 Defensive Bo Horvat