Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +23.8% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.1% vs Zegras 37.0% (+23.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 65.5%
Defensive zone
Horvat 65.8%
Neutral zone
Horvat 54.1%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 65.5%
34.5%
65.5%
Horvat
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Horvat
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Horvat
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (731)
33.0% (264)
+22.7%
Power Play
63.4% (243)
32.1% (56)
+31.3%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (107)
50.0% (2)
-1.4%
On power play, Horvat has a +31.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Horvat is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (633).
Horvat shoots left. Zegras is 32.5% vs left-shot opponents (200).
Home / Away
Horvat
Zegras
Home
59.4% (537)
35.3% (173)
Away
54.0% (544)
30.2% (149)
By Period
Horvat
Zegras
P1
59.9%
33.0%
P2
54.5%
35.7%
P3
56.1%
29.7%
OT
55.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
59.4%
29.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
56.7%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
32.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 09:17 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |