Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +15.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Zegras on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Zegras 39.5% (+15.6%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 56.6%
Defensive zone
Horvat 92.4%
Neutral zone
Horvat 78.9%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
Horvat
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Horvat
Zegras
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
1
6
Horvat
Zegras
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
1
Horvat
Zegras
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Zegras
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
39.0% (1,703)
+14.9%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
38.5% (148)
+22.6%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
25.0% (8)
+22.2%
On power play, Horvat has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Horvat shoots left. Zegras is 39.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,252).
Home / Away
Horvat
Zegras
Home
56.1% (8,423)
40.5% (908)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
37.3% (951)
By Period
Horvat
Zegras
P1
54.1%
40.0%
P2
54.5%
38.6%
P3
55.0%
38.2%
OT
49.6%
31.6%
Final 5 min
55.2%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
38.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 09:17 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 2 | 17:14 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 2 | 07:15 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 01:01 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 07:50 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 04:27 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 04:13 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 12:28 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 07:36 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 03:12 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 3 | 10:02 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 2 | 08:10 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 1 | 15:58 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 07:49 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 1 | 16:53 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 1 | 10:38 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |