Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 57.9% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.1% vs Seguin 52.5% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 51.6%
Defensive zone
Seguin 66.4%
Neutral zone
Seguin 56.0%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Horvat
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Horvat
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Horvat
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (731)
53.2% (201)
+2.5%
Power Play
63.4% (243)
60.0% (25)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (107)
44.4% (9)
+4.2%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Horvat is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Horvat shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Horvat
Seguin
Home
59.4% (537)
56.3% (126)
Away
54.0% (544)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Horvat
Seguin
P1
59.9%
44.3%
P2
54.5%
52.1%
P3
56.1%
62.5%
OT
55.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
56.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 04:56 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 09:39 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 03:42 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 01:12 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |