Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 53.6%). Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (56% H2H, 39 meetings). Horvat wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Seguin 53.6% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 55-42 in 97 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 66.4%
Defensive zone
Seguin 71.9%
Neutral zone
Seguin 71.9%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 69.7%
30.3%
69.7%
Horvat
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
42
-
55
(97 meetings)
42
55
Horvat
Seguin
Last 10: Horvat 4-6 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
17
22
Horvat
Seguin
39 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
17
20
Horvat
Seguin
37 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
8
13
Horvat
Seguin
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
53.7% (8,071)
+0.2%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
55.9% (810)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
49.3% (762)
-2.1%
On power play, Horvat has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Horvat is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (6,120).
Horvat shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Horvat
Seguin
Home
56.1% (8,423)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Horvat
Seguin
P1
54.1%
52.8%
P2
54.5%
53.3%
P3
55.0%
54.7%
OT
49.6%
54.7%
Final 5 min
55.2%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 04:56 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 09:39 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 03:42 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 01:12 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 10:17 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 10:29 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 03:11 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 1 | 10:48 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 1 | 02:52 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 13:56 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 3 | 14:13 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 3 | 12:41 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 3 | 09:34 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 3 | 07:27 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 3 | 06:24 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 2 | 16:26 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 2 | 16:20 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 2 | 10:57 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |