Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.5% vs 56.9%). Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings). Horvat wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.9% vs Trocheck 56.2% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 55.2%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 60.8%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 53.2%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Horvat
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
13
(23 meetings)
10
13
Horvat
Trocheck
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
4
8
Horvat
Trocheck
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
2
3
Horvat
Trocheck
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
2
Horvat
Trocheck
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (713)
58.0% (666)
-2.6%
Power Play
63.2% (242)
64.8% (165)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (104)
43.4% (152)
+4.7%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Horvat is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (442).
Horvat shoots left. Trocheck is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Home / Away
Horvat
Trocheck
Home
59.0% (515)
55.3% (436)
Away
54.0% (544)
58.1% (547)
By Period
Horvat
Trocheck
P1
59.6%
56.4%
P2
53.9%
58.7%
P3
56.2%
55.5%
OT
55.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
59.6%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Trocheck
62.0%▲
55.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 10:29 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 06:59 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 15:13 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 08:29 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 03:47 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 01:23 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 19:50 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 18:53 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 07:43 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 07:24 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 00:21 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 3 | 03:12 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 2 | 18:36 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 2 | 06:12 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 1 | 17:33 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 19:37 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 15:05 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 07:58 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 13:56 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |