Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 54.2%). Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 56 meetings). Horvat wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Trocheck 54.2% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 77-63 in 140 meetings
Offensive zone
Trocheck 54.2%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 54.2%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 53.2%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Horvat
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
77
-
63
(140 meetings)
77
63
Horvat
Trocheck
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
22
34
Horvat
Trocheck
56 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
36
20
Horvat
Trocheck
56 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
19
9
Horvat
Trocheck
28 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,637)
53.7% (10,944)
+0.2%
Power Play
61.1% (2,711)
60.9% (1,870)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,497)
49.5% (1,472)
-2.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Horvat is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (6,115).
Horvat shoots left. Trocheck is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (9,918).
Home / Away
Horvat
Trocheck
Home
56.1% (8,401)
56.3% (7,160)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
52.2% (7,126)
By Period
Horvat
Trocheck
P1
54.1%
54.1%
P2
54.4%
54.7%
P3
55.0%
54.0%
OT
49.6%
52.1%
Final 5 min
55.2%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
66.0%▲
56.5%
54.5%
Trocheck
62.0%▲
55.5%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 10:29 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 06:59 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 15:13 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 08:29 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 03:47 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 01:23 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 19:50 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 18:53 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 07:43 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 07:24 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 00:21 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 3 | 03:12 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 2 | 18:36 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 2 | 06:12 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 1 | 17:33 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 19:37 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 15:05 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 07:58 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 13:56 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |