Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.7% vs 57.6%). Horvat wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.1% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-0.9%)
Offensive zone
Horvat 55.1%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 66.0%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 50.8%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Horvat
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (731)
58.5% (135)
-2.8%
Power Play
63.4% (243)
80.0% (5)
-16.6%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (107)
44.4% (18)
+4.2%
On power play, Karlsson has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Horvat is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (633).
Horvat shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Horvat
Karlsson
Home
59.4% (537)
63.7% (91)
Away
54.0% (544)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Horvat
Karlsson
P1
59.9%
54.4%
P2
54.5%
66.7%
P3
56.1%
51.9%
OT
55.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
56.7%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%