Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 34 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Karlsson 51.3% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 58-35 in 93 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 88.0%
Defensive zone
Horvat 80.4%
Neutral zone
Horvat 81.4%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 83.5%
83.5%
16.5%
Horvat
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
58
-
35
(93 meetings)
58
35
Horvat
Karlsson
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
24
10
Horvat
Karlsson
34 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
18
14
Horvat
Karlsson
32 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
16
11
Horvat
Karlsson
27 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
51.8% (7,849)
+2.1%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
54.8% (1,048)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
44.2% (1,109)
+3.0%
On power play, Horvat has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Horvat shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,551).
Home / Away
Horvat
Karlsson
Home
56.1% (8,423)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Horvat
Karlsson
P1
54.1%
50.3%
P2
54.5%
51.3%
P3
55.0%
52.4%
OT
49.6%
44.9%
Final 5 min
55.2%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 19:32 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 19:26 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 18:11 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 09:47 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 08:26 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 18:52 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 12:26 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 10:30 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 17:56 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 02:37 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 07:02 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 18:04 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 06:47 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 13:33 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 05:27 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 07:42 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:57 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 3 | 03:59 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 3 | 01:11 | Neutral | William Karlsson |