Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs Gourde 49.7% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 79.9%
Defensive zone
Gourde 51.2%
Neutral zone
Horvat 56.1%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
Horvat
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Horvat
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
51.2% (469)
+7.4%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
42.9% (21)
+17.7%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
37.5% (48)
+8.2%
On power play, Horvat has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Horvat is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Horvat shoots left. Gourde is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Home / Away
Horvat
Gourde
Home
59.2% (684)
47.8% (301)
Away
57.0% (635)
51.9% (237)
By Period
Horvat
Gourde
P1
57.9%
47.3%
P2
55.4%
53.4%
P3
61.5%
48.6%
OT
53.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
60.9%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
42.0%▼
53.5%
58.2%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 19:51 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 18:17 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |