Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.9% vs Gourde 46.0% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Gourde 68.1%
Defensive zone
Gourde 88.2%
Neutral zone
Gourde 76.5%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 75.8%
24.2%
75.8%
Horvat
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Horvat
Gourde
Last 10: Horvat 3-7 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
4
Horvat
Gourde
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
2
Horvat
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (713)
47.2% (687)
+8.2%
Power Play
63.2% (242)
45.0% (20)
+18.2%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (104)
33.0% (88)
+15.1%
On power play, Horvat has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Horvat is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (616).
Horvat shoots left. Gourde is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (522).
Home / Away
Horvat
Gourde
Home
59.0% (515)
44.4% (356)
Away
54.0% (544)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Horvat
Gourde
P1
59.6%
42.2%
P2
53.9%
50.0%
P3
56.2%
44.5%
OT
55.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 14:34 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 15:09 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 01:19 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 01:06 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 16:46 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 16:22 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 07:33 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 07:16 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 04:39 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 18:15 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |