Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Tkachuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 51.1% vs Tkachuk 55.0% (-5.4%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 74.8%
Defensive zone
Jenner 82.9%
Neutral zone
Jenner 53.6%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Jenner
Tkachuk
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Tkachuk
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (265)
54.9% (153)
-3.6%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
59.4% (106)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
100.0% (1)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tkachuk shoots left. Jenner is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (215).
Jenner shoots left. Tkachuk is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (183).
Home / Away
Jenner
Tkachuk
Home
52.7% (165)
50.8% (128)
Away
50.0% (144)
62.9% (132)
By Period
Jenner
Tkachuk
P1
49.0%
56.6%
P2
45.0%
58.9%
P3
59.5%
56.2%
Final 5 min
55.4%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.5%
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
56.9%