Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 13 meetings). Jenner wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Tkachuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Tkachuk 50.0% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Tkachuk leads 17-9 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 91.3%
Defensive zone
Tkachuk 50.2%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 73.7%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 77.1%
22.9%
77.1%
Jenner
Tkachuk
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
17
(26 meetings)
9
17
Jenner
Tkachuk
Last 10: Jenner 1-9 Tkachuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
12
Jenner
Tkachuk
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
5
1
Jenner
Tkachuk
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
3
4
Jenner
Tkachuk
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Tkachuk
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,228)
48.9% (1,574)
+5.6%
Power Play
55.8% (1,148)
51.4% (1,303)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (1,001)
45.0% (20)
+3.4%
On even strength, Jenner has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tkachuk shoots left. Jenner is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,209).
Jenner shoots left. Tkachuk is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,665).
Home / Away
Jenner
Tkachuk
Home
54.5% (4,073)
50.7% (1,435)
Away
53.4% (4,304)
49.3% (1,462)
By Period
Jenner
Tkachuk
P1
53.6%
49.4%
P2
53.6%
51.3%
P3
54.5%
49.1%
OT
54.5%
55.3%
Final 5 min
52.3%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
53.9%
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | OT | 03:00 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 08:58 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 07:18 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 3 | 04:54 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 2 | 16:25 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 2, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 18:34 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 18:19 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 11:11 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 14:46 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 11:19 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 10:19 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 16:03 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 12:48 | Defensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 19:31 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 23, 2022 | 2 | 03:33 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 24, 2020 | 2 | 17:16 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 24, 2020 | 2 | 14:34 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 24, 2020 | 2 | 10:56 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 04:44 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |