Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 51.1% vs Tavares 56.8% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 80.5%
Defensive zone
Tavares 57.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 80.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 80.5%
19.5%
80.5%
Jenner
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Jenner
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (265)
57.7% (975)
-6.4%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
56.0% (250)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
52.2% (23)
-2.2%
On even strength, Tavares has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Jenner is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (215).
Jenner shoots left. Tavares is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Home / Away
Jenner
Tavares
Home
52.7% (165)
57.4% (636)
Away
50.0% (144)
57.2% (612)
By Period
Jenner
Tavares
P1
49.0%
57.5%
P2
45.0%
56.9%
P3
59.5%
57.5%
Final 5 min
55.4%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.5%
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2025 | 2 | 02:08 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 1 | 12:42 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |