Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 51.1% vs Dowd 48.6% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 77.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 86.5%
Neutral zone
Dowd 54.5%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 86.5%
13.5%
86.5%
Jenner
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Jenner
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Jenner
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (265)
51.0% (671)
+0.3%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
0.0% (2)
+54.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
41.5% (224)
+8.5%
On power play, Jenner has a +54.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Jenner is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Jenner shoots left. Dowd is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Home / Away
Jenner
Dowd
Home
52.7% (165)
48.2% (471)
Away
50.0% (144)
48.8% (426)
By Period
Jenner
Dowd
P1
49.0%
48.3%
P2
45.0%
46.8%
P3
59.5%
51.0%
Final 5 min
55.4%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.5%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2025 | 3 | 11:32 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |