Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 51.1% vs Bjugstad 49.5% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 59.4%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 65.8%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 57.2%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Jenner
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Jenner
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
2
Jenner
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (265)
49.7% (292)
+1.6%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
50.0% (6)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
47.2% (36)
+2.8%
On power play, Jenner has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Jenner is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Jenner shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Jenner
Bjugstad
Home
52.7% (165)
48.7% (193)
Away
50.0% (144)
50.4% (141)
By Period
Jenner
Bjugstad
P1
49.0%
41.5%
P2
45.0%
57.3%
P3
59.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.4%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.5%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 14:57 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 16:01 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |