Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 17 meetings). Jenner wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Bjugstad 49.0% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 37-23 in 60 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 85.8%
Defensive zone
Jenner 82.4%
Neutral zone
Jenner 85.8%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 84.6%
84.6%
15.4%
Jenner
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
37
-
23
(60 meetings)
37
23
Jenner
Bjugstad
Last 10: Jenner 6-4 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
13
4
Jenner
Bjugstad
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
9
11
Jenner
Bjugstad
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
15
8
Jenner
Bjugstad
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,228)
48.6% (6,646)
+5.9%
Power Play
55.8% (1,148)
55.2% (829)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (1,001)
44.3% (614)
+4.1%
On even strength, Jenner has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Jenner is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,168).
Jenner shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,753).
Home / Away
Jenner
Bjugstad
Home
54.5% (4,073)
49.8% (4,023)
Away
53.4% (4,304)
48.1% (4,066)
By Period
Jenner
Bjugstad
P1
53.6%
48.9%
P2
53.6%
49.1%
P3
54.5%
48.5%
OT
54.5%
61.3%
Final 5 min
52.3%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
53.9%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 14:57 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 16:01 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 14:57 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 12:48 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 12:32 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 07:04 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 06:40 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 18:17 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 17:12 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 16:33 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 10:39 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 18:26 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 18:16 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 06:01 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 2 | 18:32 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 2 | 06:50 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |