Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 51.1% vs Paul 53.6% (-2.8%)
Offensive zone
Jenner 51.5%
Defensive zone
Paul 53.9%
Neutral zone
Jenner 52.5%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Jenner
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (265)
53.7% (354)
-2.4%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
59.0% (61)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
52.9% (34)
-2.9%
On power play, Paul has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Jenner is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (215).
Jenner shoots left. Paul is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Jenner
Paul
Home
52.7% (165)
55.1% (216)
Away
50.0% (144)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Jenner
Paul
P1
49.0%
54.9%
P2
45.0%
54.5%
P3
59.5%
54.3%
Final 5 min
55.4%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.5%
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.3%