Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.5% vs 52.0%). Jenner wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 51.1% vs Zacha 51.8% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 60.1%
Defensive zone
Zacha 54.0%
Neutral zone
Jenner 52.3%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Jenner
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Jenner
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Jenner
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (265)
53.0% (700)
-1.7%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
54.1% (109)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
39.2% (74)
+10.8%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Jenner is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (215).
Jenner shoots left. Zacha is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (520).
Home / Away
Jenner
Zacha
Home
52.7% (165)
51.6% (438)
Away
50.0% (144)
52.4% (445)
By Period
Jenner
Zacha
P1
49.0%
57.0%
P2
45.0%
48.9%
P3
59.5%
50.5%
Final 5 min
55.4%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.5%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 01:43 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |