Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Jenner wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Zacha 49.2% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 19-15 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 56.5%
Defensive zone
Jenner 73.1%
Neutral zone
Jenner 68.3%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 65.1%
65.1%
34.9%
Jenner
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
15
(34 meetings)
19
15
Jenner
Zacha
Last 10: Jenner 2-8 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
7
8
Jenner
Zacha
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
8
6
Jenner
Zacha
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
4
1
Jenner
Zacha
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,228)
48.9% (5,156)
+5.6%
Power Play
55.8% (1,148)
55.7% (813)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (1,001)
42.2% (557)
+6.2%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Jenner is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,209).
Jenner shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,965).
Home / Away
Jenner
Zacha
Home
54.5% (4,073)
49.7% (3,381)
Away
53.4% (4,304)
48.6% (3,145)
By Period
Jenner
Zacha
P1
53.6%
49.9%
P2
53.6%
49.2%
P3
54.5%
48.2%
OT
54.5%
53.5%
Final 5 min
52.3%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
53.9%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 01:43 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 3 | 04:43 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 2 | 19:07 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 1 | 07:08 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 09:19 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 3 | 17:28 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 3 | 07:15 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 3 | 06:58 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 3 | 01:58 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 17:19 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 18:58 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 31, 2021 | OT | 04:44 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 3 | 09:44 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 3 | 09:40 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 3 | 12:37 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 2 | 19:12 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 2 | 02:19 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |