Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 51.1% vs Aho 50.5% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 61.7%
Defensive zone
Jenner 64.7%
Neutral zone
Aho 54.1%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Jenner
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Jenner
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (265)
50.5% (878)
+0.8%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
53.5% (144)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
44.3% (61)
+5.7%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Jenner is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (215).
Jenner shoots left. Aho is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Jenner
Aho
Home
52.7% (165)
53.8% (571)
Away
50.0% (144)
46.9% (512)
By Period
Jenner
Aho
P1
49.0%
49.0%
P2
45.0%
51.7%
P3
59.5%
50.3%
Final 5 min
55.4%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.5%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 03:13 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |