Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on defensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 27 meetings). Jenner wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.0% vs Aho 51.3% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 42-38 in 80 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 71.7%
Defensive zone
Jenner 70.7%
Neutral zone
Jenner 53.3%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Jenner
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
38
-
42
(80 meetings)
38
42
Jenner
Aho
Last 10: Jenner 6-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
8
26
Jenner
Aho
34 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
23
4
Jenner
Aho
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
7
12
Jenner
Aho
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (6,094)
50.1% (6,415)
+4.5%
Power Play
55.8% (1,146)
59.1% (1,297)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (990)
46.0% (446)
+2.5%
On even strength, Jenner has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Jenner is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,105).
Jenner shoots left. Aho is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,145).
Home / Away
Jenner
Aho
Home
54.5% (3,991)
52.4% (4,199)
Away
53.6% (4,239)
50.2% (3,959)
By Period
Jenner
Aho
P1
53.7%
51.2%
P2
53.9%
52.1%
P3
54.5%
50.8%
OT
54.5%
48.9%
Final 5 min
52.2%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
48.0%▼
50.5%
54.0%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 16:23 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 00:48 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 00:37 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 19:04 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 07:49 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 00:53 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 15:01 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 13:08 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 03:29 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 03:20 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 18:57 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 07:16 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 06:52 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 04:47 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 04:39 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 04:34 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 03:09 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:12 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |