Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 51.1% vs Hertl 57.5% (-6.6%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 71.5%
Defensive zone
Jenner 69.8%
Neutral zone
Hertl 53.0%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Jenner
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (265)
58.7% (858)
-7.4%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
55.8% (285)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
62.9% (35)
-12.9%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Jenner is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (215).
Jenner shoots left. Hertl is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (736).
Home / Away
Jenner
Hertl
Home
52.7% (165)
60.1% (599)
Away
50.0% (144)
56.1% (579)
By Period
Jenner
Hertl
P1
49.0%
52.4%
P2
45.0%
63.9%
P3
59.5%
58.5%
Final 5 min
55.4%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.5%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
58.1%