Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 16 meetings). Tkachuk wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.0% vs Coyle 48.8% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 18-18 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 93.1%
Defensive zone
Coyle 70.7%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 51.3%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Tkachuk
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
18
(36 meetings)
18
18
Tkachuk
Coyle
Last 10: Tkachuk 5-5 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
16
0
Tkachuk
Coyle
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
15
Tkachuk
Coyle
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
3
Tkachuk
Coyle
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (1,574)
49.4% (7,898)
-0.5%
Power Play
51.4% (1,303)
50.0% (794)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
43.5% (1,100)
+1.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Tkachuk is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,232).
Tkachuk shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,015).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Coyle
Home
50.7% (1,435)
49.8% (4,865)
Away
49.3% (1,462)
47.9% (4,927)
By Period
Tkachuk
Coyle
P1
49.4%
49.5%
P2
51.3%
48.3%
P3
49.1%
48.8%
OT
55.3%
49.0%
Final 5 min
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
50.0%
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 14:10 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 03:57 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 16:31 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 16:14 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 18:36 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 10:47 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 03:24 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 17:03 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 13:21 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 18:41 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 12:57 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 08:26 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 11:26 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 01:41 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 19:27 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 18:35 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 18:27 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:12 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 15:44 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 11:51 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |