Brady Tkachuk vs Dylan Larkin

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Dylan Larkin holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 12 meetings). Tkachuk wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Tkachuk 50.0% vs Larkin 52.7% (-2.7%)
H2H factor Larkin leads 13-13 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone Tkachuk 91.6%
Defensive zone Larkin 84.4%
Neutral zone Tkachuk 52.7%
Result Brady Tkachuk favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Tkachuk Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
13 - 13 (26 meetings)
13
13
Tkachuk Larkin
Last 10: Tkachuk 5-5 Larkin

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
11
1
Tkachuk Larkin
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
10
Tkachuk Larkin
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
2
Tkachuk Larkin
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Tkachuk
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (1,574)
51.6% (9,056)
-2.7%
Power Play
51.4% (1,303)
58.6% (2,140)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
50.2% (1,124)
-5.2%
On power play, Larkin has a +7.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Tkachuk is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,665).
Tkachuk shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,876).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Larkin
Home
50.7% (1,435)
53.9% (6,277)
Away
49.3% (1,462)
51.4% (6,043)
By Period
Tkachuk
Larkin
P1
49.4%
52.7%
P2
51.3%
53.1%
P3
49.1%
52.0%
OT
55.3%
58.4%
Final 5 min
47.0%
53.2%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%
58.5%
50.0%
Larkin
48.0%
50.5%
52.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 24, 2026 1 13:18 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Feb 26, 2026 3 14:47 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Jan 18, 2026 1 13:16 Defensive Brady Tkachuk
Jan 5, 2026 3 18:56 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Jan 5, 2026 3 16:47 Offensive Brady Tkachuk
Jan 5, 2026 1 00:25 Offensive Brady Tkachuk
Mar 27, 2025 2 19:26 Offensive Brady Tkachuk
Dec 5, 2024 3 19:17 Neutral Brady Tkachuk
Dec 5, 2024 3 18:32 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Dec 5, 2024 2 19:18 Neutral Dylan Larkin
Dec 9, 2023 1 00:27 Offensive Brady Tkachuk
Nov 16, 2023 3 02:02 Offensive Brady Tkachuk
Oct 21, 2023 2 07:06 Offensive Brady Tkachuk
Feb 28, 2023 2 07:38 Offensive Brady Tkachuk
Feb 28, 2023 1 10:22 Offensive Brady Tkachuk
Feb 28, 2023 1 03:50 Neutral Dylan Larkin
Feb 27, 2023 2 12:00 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Feb 27, 2023 1 13:45 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Dec 31, 2022 1 15:09 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Apr 3, 2022 1 19:59 Defensive Dylan Larkin