Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 55.0% vs Stenlund 54.2% (+2.3%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 85.7%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 92.3%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 50.7%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Tkachuk
Stenlund
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (153)
56.2% (650)
-1.3%
Power Play
59.4% (106)
53.2% (47)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
51.6% (312)
+48.4%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +48.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Tkachuk is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (77).
Tkachuk shoots left. Stenlund is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (688).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Stenlund
Home
50.8% (128)
56.9% (483)
Away
62.9% (132)
52.5% (526)
By Period
Tkachuk
Stenlund
P1
56.6%
54.2%
P2
58.9%
53.2%
P3
56.2%
56.9%
OT
50.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
55.2%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
56.9%
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.6%