Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Draisaitl 53.2% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 68.4%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 95.5%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 66.2%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Tkachuk
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Tkachuk
Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
3
0
Tkachuk
Draisaitl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
1
Tkachuk
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (183)
52.6% (1,124)
-7.2%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
58.4% (344)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
49.2% (193)
+50.8%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +50.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Tkachuk is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Tkachuk shoots left. Draisaitl is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,042).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Draisaitl
Home
51.1% (233)
55.5% (816)
Away
49.0% (202)
51.4% (845)
By Period
Tkachuk
Draisaitl
P1
42.9%
51.1%
P2
52.2%
51.6%
P3
53.7%
56.9%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
43.8%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▬
57.0%
50.1%
Draisaitl
64.0%▲
54.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2022 | OT | 01:05 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 2 | 15:33 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 1 | 06:33 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 15:17 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |