Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.4% vs 48.0%). Tkachuk wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 48.6% vs Scheifele 48.1% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 68.9%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 81.1%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 54.8%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 81.1%
18.9%
81.1%
Tkachuk
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Tkachuk
Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
2
Tkachuk
Scheifele
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (421)
47.8% (960)
-0.3%
Power Play
50.3% (336)
47.0% (219)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
60.7% (28)
-48.2%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +48.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Tkachuk is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (344).
Tkachuk shoots left. Scheifele is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Scheifele
Home
49.9% (389)
50.7% (611)
Away
46.8% (376)
45.1% (596)
By Period
Tkachuk
Scheifele
P1
44.4%
51.4%
P2
51.8%
47.3%
P3
47.8%
45.0%
OT
57.1%
53.8%
Final 5 min
44.3%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
48.4%
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 08:09 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 12:41 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |