Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 55.0% vs Scheifele 47.2% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 51.9%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 73.1%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 57.1%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 62.5%
37.5%
62.5%
Tkachuk
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Tkachuk
Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Scheifele
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
1
Tkachuk
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (153)
46.5% (919)
+8.4%
Power Play
59.4% (106)
48.7% (187)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
50.0% (54)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Tkachuk is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (77).
Tkachuk shoots left. Scheifele is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Scheifele
Home
50.8% (128)
46.6% (605)
Away
62.9% (132)
47.4% (555)
By Period
Tkachuk
Scheifele
P1
56.6%
52.3%
P2
58.9%
45.3%
P3
56.2%
43.9%
OT
50.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
55.2%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
56.9%
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 17:56 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 17:50 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |