Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 55.0% vs Roy 51.9% (+4.7%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 82.1%
Defensive zone
Roy 90.8%
Neutral zone
Roy 54.4%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Tkachuk
Roy
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (153)
51.9% (547)
+3.0%
Power Play
59.4% (106)
54.1% (37)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
53.3% (92)
+46.7%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +46.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Tkachuk is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (77).
Tkachuk shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Roy
Home
50.8% (128)
54.0% (328)
Away
62.9% (132)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Tkachuk
Roy
P1
56.6%
53.5%
P2
58.9%
51.6%
P3
56.2%
51.6%
Final 5 min
55.2%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
56.9%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%