Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 55.0% vs Cates 45.5% (+11.9%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 77.4%
Defensive zone
Cates 81.1%
Neutral zone
Cates 53.6%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Tkachuk
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (153)
45.5% (756)
+9.4%
Power Play
59.4% (106)
42.1% (114)
+17.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
44.7% (47)
+55.3%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +55.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Tkachuk is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (183).
Tkachuk shoots left. Cates is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Cates
Home
50.8% (128)
46.2% (468)
Away
62.9% (132)
43.9% (449)
By Period
Tkachuk
Cates
P1
56.6%
46.0%
P2
58.9%
47.5%
P3
56.2%
42.1%
OT
50.0%
18.2%
Final 5 min
55.2%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
56.9%
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
45.0%