Brady Tkachuk vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 55.0% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (+10.5%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 76.7%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 79.4%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.8%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Tkachuk
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (153)
46.0% (250)
+8.9%
Power Play
59.4% (106)
70.6% (17)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
31.8% (22)
+68.2%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +68.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Tkachuk is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (183).
Tkachuk shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
50.8% (128)
50.3% (175)
Away
62.9% (132)
40.4% (114)
By Period
Tkachuk
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
56.6%
48.5%
P2
58.9%
45.9%
P3
56.2%
46.5%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
56.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%