Brady Tkachuk vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Tkachuk wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.0% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 93.2%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 80.8%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 50.4%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Tkachuk
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Tkachuk
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Tkachuk 5-5 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
4
0
Tkachuk
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
3
Tkachuk
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
2
Tkachuk
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (1,574)
44.8% (8,775)
+4.1%
Power Play
51.4% (1,303)
50.6% (844)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
37.8% (880)
+7.2%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Tkachuk is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,665).
Tkachuk shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,858).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
50.7% (1,435)
46.5% (5,361)
Away
49.3% (1,462)
42.8% (5,150)
By Period
Tkachuk
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
49.4%
45.1%
P2
51.3%
43.9%
P3
49.1%
45.2%
OT
55.3%
43.2%
Final 5 min
47.0%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
50.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 05:42 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 11:48 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 07:24 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 07:36 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 07:26 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 2 | 09:28 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 3 | 00:31 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 3 | 11:32 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 3 | 13:58 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 3 | 06:24 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |