Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 55.0% vs Carrick 54.2% (+1.9%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 84.6%
Defensive zone
Carrick 91.9%
Neutral zone
Carrick 53.0%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Tkachuk
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (153)
55.5% (470)
-0.6%
Power Play
59.4% (106)
66.7% (3)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
50.0% (58)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Tkachuk is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (77).
Tkachuk shoots left. Carrick is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Carrick
Home
50.8% (128)
58.6% (261)
Away
62.9% (132)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Tkachuk
Carrick
P1
56.6%
55.9%
P2
58.9%
53.5%
P3
56.2%
55.6%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
56.9%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.0%