Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +18.0% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 45.8% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 53.8% vs Reinhart 43.4% (+18.0%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 74.1%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 76.0%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 51.3%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Tkachuk
Reinhart
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (89)
38.9% (72)
+20.7%
Power Play
50.9% (57)
35.7% (42)
+15.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
42.9% (21)
+57.1%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Tkachuk is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Tkachuk shoots left. Reinhart is 33.9% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Reinhart
Home
52.9% (87)
34.7% (75)
Away
61.7% (60)
43.3% (60)
By Period
Tkachuk
Reinhart
P1
61.0%
43.9%
P2
59.5%
32.6%
P3
52.4%
39.6%
Final 5 min
50.9%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▬
57.0%
56.5%
Reinhart
46.0%▲
41.0%
38.5%