Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (93% H2H, 15 meetings). Tkachuk wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.0% vs Reinhart 43.3% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Tkachuk leads 15-14 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 93.6%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 55.8%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 64.6%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
Tkachuk
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
14
(29 meetings)
15
14
Tkachuk
Reinhart
Last 10: Tkachuk 8-2 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
14
1
Tkachuk
Reinhart
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
13
Tkachuk
Reinhart
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (1,574)
42.5% (2,173)
+6.4%
Power Play
51.4% (1,303)
46.5% (525)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
41.3% (339)
+3.7%
On even strength, Tkachuk has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Tkachuk is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,232).
Tkachuk shoots left. Reinhart is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,283).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Reinhart
Home
50.7% (1,435)
44.9% (1,528)
Away
49.3% (1,462)
41.2% (1,509)
By Period
Tkachuk
Reinhart
P1
49.4%
44.5%
P2
51.3%
40.5%
P3
49.1%
44.5%
OT
55.3%
43.5%
Final 5 min
47.0%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
50.0%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:23 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 05:35 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 15:06 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 02:51 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 19:56 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 14:20 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 04:52 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 11:16 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 11:14 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 12:42 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 02:30 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 03:06 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 06:46 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 02:37 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 3 | 06:58 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 1 | 08:33 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 03:13 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 15:49 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 15:29 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 14:22 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |