Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 55.0% vs Thompson 45.2% (+12.3%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 74.0%
Defensive zone
Thompson 81.5%
Neutral zone
Thompson 54.8%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Tkachuk
Thompson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (153)
44.6% (661)
+10.3%
Power Play
59.4% (106)
48.4% (95)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
33.3% (33)
+66.7%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Tkachuk is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (77).
Tkachuk shoots left. Thompson is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Thompson
Home
50.8% (128)
45.7% (411)
Away
62.9% (132)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Tkachuk
Thompson
P1
56.6%
47.7%
P2
58.9%
45.7%
P3
56.2%
40.5%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
55.2%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
56.9%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
44.6%