Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Tkachuk wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.0% vs Thompson 42.8% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Tkachuk leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 98.4%
Defensive zone
Tkachuk 72.3%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 81.7%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 86.3%
86.3%
13.7%
Tkachuk
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
7
(20 meetings)
13
7
Tkachuk
Thompson
Last 10: Tkachuk 6-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
9
1
Tkachuk
Thompson
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
6
Tkachuk
Thompson
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
2
0
Tkachuk
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (1,574)
42.9% (3,540)
+6.0%
Power Play
51.4% (1,303)
46.9% (373)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
33.6% (265)
+11.4%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Tkachuk is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,232).
Tkachuk shoots left. Thompson is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,029).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Thompson
Home
50.7% (1,435)
44.8% (2,135)
Away
49.3% (1,462)
40.3% (2,043)
By Period
Tkachuk
Thompson
P1
49.4%
44.4%
P2
51.3%
43.7%
P3
49.1%
40.0%
OT
55.3%
36.4%
Final 5 min
47.0%
40.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
50.0%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 12:42 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 08:18 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 03:28 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 3 | 04:08 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 06:51 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 04:34 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 19:03 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 3 | 11:54 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 2 | 13:17 | Defensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 1 | 12:50 | Defensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 1 | 08:59 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 3 | 05:43 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 3 | 05:36 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 2 | 13:17 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 1 | 07:05 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 13:15 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 10:46 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 10:35 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 02:57 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |