Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Adams on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.2% vs Adams 44.5% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Adams 62.6%
Defensive zone
Adams 74.7%
Neutral zone
Adams 67.5%
Result
Craig Adams favored at 70.5%
29.5%
70.5%
Sutter
Adams
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Sutter
Adams
Last 8: Sutter 3-5 Adams
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Adams
0
1
Sutter
Adams
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Sutter
Adams
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Adams
1
2
Sutter
Adams
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Adams
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (7,610)
47.3% (632)
+3.6%
Power Play
52.8% (627)
50.0% (6)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (1,797)
39.1% (386)
+7.3%
On penalty kill, Sutter has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Adams shoots right. Sutter is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (3,385).
Sutter shoots right. Adams is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (330).
Home / Away
Sutter
Adams
Home
50.6% (5,050)
42.0% (488)
Away
49.8% (5,033)
45.8% (546)
By Period
Sutter
Adams
P1
48.7%
46.5%
P2
50.3%
40.5%
P3
51.5%
45.5%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Adams
42.0%▼
45.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2012 | 3 | 10:19 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 3 | 10:14 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 3 | 19:56 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 3 | 19:45 | Neutral | Craig Adams |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 3 | 08:05 | Neutral | Craig Adams |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 2 | 06:57 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 1 | 07:00 | Offensive | Craig Adams |
| Oct 30, 2010 | 2 | 07:44 | Defensive | Craig Adams |