Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.2% vs Larkin 52.7% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 18-13 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 67.6%
Defensive zone
Sutter 72.9%
Neutral zone
Sutter 54.4%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Sutter
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
18
(31 meetings)
13
18
Sutter
Larkin
Last 10: Sutter 2-8 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
12
Sutter
Larkin
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
8
2
Sutter
Larkin
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
4
Sutter
Larkin
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (7,610)
51.6% (9,056)
-0.7%
Power Play
52.8% (627)
58.6% (2,140)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (1,797)
50.2% (1,124)
-3.8%
On power play, Larkin has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Sutter is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,698).
Sutter shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,444).
Home / Away
Sutter
Larkin
Home
50.6% (5,050)
53.9% (6,277)
Away
49.8% (5,033)
51.4% (6,043)
By Period
Sutter
Larkin
P1
48.7%
52.7%
P2
50.3%
53.1%
P3
51.5%
52.0%
OT
50.0%
58.4%
Final 5 min
49.4%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2019 | 3 | 15:29 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 3 | 10:33 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 3 | 10:28 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 3 | 02:47 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 3 | 18:06 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 3 | 15:44 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 3 | 08:20 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 3 | 06:11 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 2 | 17:27 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 2 | 04:50 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 1 | 12:50 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 1 | 03:40 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 1 | 03:23 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 3 | 18:38 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 3 | 14:30 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 3 | 09:30 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 3 | 04:10 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 2 | 15:56 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |