Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.2% vs McKegg 49.2% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Sutter leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Sutter 51.3%
Defensive zone
Sutter 65.5%
Neutral zone
Sutter 56.1%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Sutter
McKegg
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Sutter
McKegg
Last 10: Sutter 6-4 McKegg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Sutter
McKegg
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
3
1
Sutter
McKegg
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Sutter
McKegg
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
McKegg
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (7,610)
49.1% (1,143)
+1.8%
Power Play
52.8% (627)
50.0% (24)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (1,797)
48.8% (86)
-2.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McKegg shoots left. Sutter is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,698).
Sutter shoots right. McKegg is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Sutter
McKegg
Home
50.6% (5,050)
50.4% (554)
Away
49.8% (5,033)
48.1% (699)
By Period
Sutter
McKegg
P1
48.7%
48.7%
P2
50.3%
49.9%
P3
51.5%
48.6%
Final 5 min
49.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2019 | 3 | 11:58 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 3 | 03:37 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 2 | 17:20 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 2 | 06:19 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 3 | 18:40 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 3 | 02:29 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 02:20 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 16:39 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 11:11 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 08:33 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 04:06 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 03:52 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 3 | 03:07 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 1 | 12:35 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |