Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.2% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 19-13 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Sutter 74.7%
Defensive zone
Sutter 51.5%
Neutral zone
Sutter 65.7%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Sutter
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
19
(32 meetings)
13
19
Sutter
Gaustad
Last 10: Sutter 6-4 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
3
6
Sutter
Gaustad
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
8
11
Sutter
Gaustad
19 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Sutter
Gaustad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (7,610)
58.2% (4,334)
-7.3%
Power Play
52.8% (627)
65.4% (188)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (1,797)
54.8% (1,290)
-8.4%
On power play, Gaustad has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Sutter is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,698).
Sutter shoots right. Gaustad is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,052).
Home / Away
Sutter
Gaustad
Home
50.6% (5,050)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
49.8% (5,033)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Sutter
Gaustad
P1
48.7%
58.2%
P2
50.3%
56.4%
P3
51.5%
58.3%
OT
50.0%
66.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2016 | 2 | 01:31 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 1 | 10:28 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 1, 2015 | 3 | 11:15 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 1, 2015 | 3 | 01:27 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 1, 2015 | 1 | 07:48 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 2 | 05:15 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 3 | 04:24 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 3 | 04:15 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 3 | 04:06 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 2 | 08:14 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 3 | 17:22 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 3 | 10:50 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 1 | 11:18 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 18, 2011 | 3 | 19:28 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 18, 2011 | 3 | 14:15 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 14, 2011 | 3 | 03:16 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 14, 2011 | 2 | 09:45 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 3 | 11:43 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 3 | 05:28 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 2 | 19:51 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |