Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.2% vs Carrick 52.2% (-2.1%)
Offensive zone
Sutter 58.3%
Defensive zone
Carrick 54.5%
Neutral zone
Carrick 52.8%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Sutter
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (7,610)
52.2% (2,544)
-1.3%
Power Play
52.8% (627)
61.3% (75)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (1,797)
50.8% (435)
-4.4%
On power play, Carrick has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Sutter is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (3,385).
Sutter shoots right. Carrick is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (843).
Home / Away
Sutter
Carrick
Home
50.6% (5,050)
51.5% (1,477)
Away
49.8% (5,033)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Sutter
Carrick
P1
48.7%
51.8%
P2
50.3%
52.3%
P3
51.5%
52.6%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
52.3%